The hottest is to enter a relatively difficult adj

Entering a relatively difficult adjustment transition period, the transformation and upgrading of the machine tool industry needs to be accelerated

in January, China's machine tool industry completed a total industrial output value of 576.67 billion yuan, an increase of 11.1% year-on-year, with a significant decline in growth rate. This is the news obtained by the electromechanical business daily from the sixth and Seventh Executive Director (expanded) meeting of the China Machine Tool Industry Association held on December 6, Wang Liming, executive vice president and Secretary General of the China Machine Tool Industry Association, emphasized in the report of the conference that the industry data provided by the National Bureau of statistics showed that the growth rate of production and sales of the whole industry had declined significantly, and the profit had negative growth. The total industrial output value of the association's key linked enterprises had shown a double-digit negative growth since the beginning of this year, the orders on hand and new orders of enterprises had fallen sharply, and the inventory had increased significantly

data show that the situation is grim

compared with the growth rate of about 30% maintained in 2011, the growth rate of 11.1% is indeed a significant decline, while the association previously announced that the growth rate of the total industrial output value of the whole industry in the first half of this year was only 11.6%

the negative data is also reflected in the total profit. According to Wang Liming, the monthly profit of the whole industry was 28.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 3.6%, and the profit margin of product sales revenue was 5.8%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.7 percentage points. Among them, the profit of the metal cutting machine tool industry was more severe, with a year-on-year decrease of 39.0%, and the profit margin of product sales revenue was only 3.6%, a year-on-year decrease of 1.8 percentage points. According to statistics, the total industrial output value of the gold cutting machine tool industry in the month was 115.88 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.2%, and the output decreased by 16.8% year-on-year

compared with the statistics of 4785 Enterprises above Designated Size by the National Bureau of statistics, the statistics of 217 key associated enterprises of China Machine Tool Industry Association show a more severe situation and more prominent problems. These enterprises completed a total industrial output value of 79.98 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 18.1%, of which the output value and output of metal cutting machine tools decreased by 19.1% and 29.7% respectively year-on-year. The total output value of the two small industries, the most serious rolling functional components and the disintegration of CNC aircraft, exceeded the load system, fell by 35.0% and 35.8% year-on-year respectively. As of October, the new orders and orders on hand of the 217 key linked enterprises decreased by 34.0% and 24.7% year-on-year respectively. Wang Liming stressed that in the first ten months, the economic operation situation of China's machine tool industry was severe, and the situation of the industry throughout the year was not optimistic; At present, the market is changing rapidly, the overall market demand for medium and low-end products is shrinking, and users' requirements for products and services are rising rapidly. This change will become the norm of the future market

at the same time, China's imports of machine tools and tools remained at a high level in August, with a year-on-year increase of 2.1%, of which the import of metal cutting machine tools was US $9.36 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 8.1%. The import of machining centers was the highest, with a total of 42000 units, valued at 4.74 billion yuan; The export growth rate gradually declined, and the highest export volume is still cutting tools

Wang Liming predicted in the report: it is expected that the decline trend of the growth rate of the gross industrial output value of the machine tool industry in the fourth quarter will stabilize, but the decline of the growth rate of the metal processing machine tool industry may continue for a little longer. He further pointed out that according to the statistical caliber of the National Bureau of statistics, the whole industry will show a growth rate of more than 10% throughout the year, and the metal processing machine tool industry may show a small positive growth. According to the prediction of the data of the key contact enterprises of the association, the year-on-year growth rate of the output value of metal processing machine tools of the key contact enterprises should be within -20%

the ten-year high-speed growth period may end at this point.

Chen Huiren, Deputy Secretary General of China Machine Tool Industry Association, also pointed out in the report entitled "implementing strategic transformation and upgrading, and promoting the sustainable development of the industry" published on the same day: the main economic indicators of China's machine tool industry have declined in an all-round way, new orders have decreased significantly, the production and marketing level has dropped significantly, the capital occupation has increased significantly, and a large number of manufacturing resources have been idle, The increasingly prominent contradiction between supply and demand has become the main feature of the current industrial economic operation. He believes that the contradiction of the inherent imbalance of the industry's production capacity structure is more obvious, the already serious market homogenization competition is further intensified, and China's machine tool industry is in a relatively difficult adjustment transition period after more than a decade of rapid growth

Chen Huiren stressed that under the current situation, we should especially completely give up the expectation of the government to further launch a strong stimulus plan and the harsh demand for a strong rebound in the middle and low-end market, because these are unrealistic. The whole industry needs a new round of ideological emancipation and conceptual change, consciously get rid of the path dependence on the scale development model, and completely abandon the blind pursuit of rapid growth

indeed, the overall decline of major economic indicators and the overall downward state of the industry also make industry enterprises have to believe that the high-speed growth state that has lasted for more than a decade may end completely from this year

and the macroeconomic environment in the short term is not optimistic, the development research center of the State Council hong5 Finally, the measurement and control system (i.e. software and hardware) of the tension machine. When making the report "China's economic prospects and outlook for 2013", Yu Bin, Minister of economic research department, specially pointed out that: from the perspective of the trend of the whole year, the third quarter should be a short-term bottom, and the fourth quarter is expected to rebound slightly, and the annual economic growth is expected to be slightly higher than 7.5%. This is the growth rate achieved under the background of the repeated deterioration of the European debt crisis, the continuous downturn of the global economy, the domestic initiative to regulate the real estate market, resolve the risks of investment and financing platforms, and promote structural adjustment

Yu Bin believes that this is also the key to the significant weight loss of iPhone 5 compared with 4S. In 2013, the world economy is still in the adjustment period after the financial crisis, and problems such as inadequate structural reform and weak demand growth are difficult to fundamentally change. The impact of the financial crisis shows a long-term trend, and developed economies may fall into a situation similar to Japan's lost decade. At the same time, developed countries have implemented the strategy of remanufacturing industrialization, the third industrial revolution represented by interconnection and new energy is rising, and new trends have emerged in the adjustment of global industrial structure. He predicted that China's consumption and export growth in 2013 will be roughly the same as that in 2012, but investment growth will face downward pressure; Firstly, the strength of real estate investment rebound is insufficient. Secondly, sluggish exports, overcapacity and low profits will affect the growth of manufacturing investment

Wang Weiming, deputy director of the equipment industry department of the Ministry of industry and information technology, also pointed out in his report to the conference that after bidding farewell to the ultra-high growth of the past decade, China's average annual economic development rate will be in single digits for a long time to come. China's equipment manufacturing enterprises should abandon the illusion of long-term high-speed economic development and gradually adapt to the market demand under the environment of steady economic growth, In order to produce, develop, become bigger and stronger, enterprises can no longer rely mainly on market increment, but rely on strength to occupy market share. The next five years will be a critical period for the transformation and upgrading of China's equipment industry

the transformation and upgrading of Nike and the renewal of the contract by the Ministry of education of China is the only magic weapon.

Wu Bolin, executive vice president of China Machine Tool Industry Association, pointed out that the change of the current industry situation stems from the change of market demand, the decline of total volume and the upgrading of structure, while the weak competitiveness of medium and high-end products and the overcapacity of medium and low-end products in the industry itself form a situation that is incompatible with market changes, which is a prominent contradiction in the current development of the industry, The only way to solve this contradiction is to transform and upgrade, improve the competitiveness of medium and high-end products in the industry as soon as possible, and adapt to the trend of national economic development and market changes

from the perspective of the transformation and upgrading of the entire equipment industry, it also puts forward new and higher requirements for high-end equipment, especially the machine tool industry. The current market demand, industrial foundation and policy environment are conducive to the upgrading and development of the machine tool industry. Wang Weiming stressed that in recent years, the market share of domestic CNC machine tools has basically been about 60%, and about 40% still rely on imports. Last year, the import of metal processing machine tools reached 13.2 billion US dollars, which is also the most favorable condition for our development of medium and high-end machine tools and the most solid foundation for industrial upgrading; From the perspective of policy environment, on the one hand, the 04 special project will be implemented until 2020, which can concentrate some funds to focus on solving some key problems that need to be solved urgently. On the other hand, as a strategic emerging industry, one of the five key directions in the high-end equipment manufacturing industry is intelligent manufacturing. CNC machine tools are one of the key directions, and CNC machine tool hosts, CNC systems, and functional components are listed as key support directions

in the report, Chen Huiren specially elaborated on his deep understanding of transformation and upgrading. He believed that the current period should be the acceleration of the transformation and upgrading of the machine tool industry, and proposed that the core goal of transformation and upgrading is competitiveness. At present, we are only at the level we can do, and there is still a considerable gap between doing well and being competitive. This is because there are not many medium and high-end product varieties we can do that have formed market competitiveness, Even a considerable part of the technological innovation achievements have remained in the stage of samples, exhibits and experimental products for a long time, and have not been verified by the market, let alone formed market competitiveness

Chen Huiren further pointed out that the external performance of our strong competitors with developed countries is the market competitiveness of products, but the internal essence of the gap is the comprehensive quality of enterprises. Therefore, in order to achieve comprehensive transformation and upgrading, we must focus on the overall improvement of the overall quality of enterprises, not only on hardware, but also on software, not only on technological progress, but also on management upgrading, not only on materials, but also on people, not only on system construction, especially in the field of culture

although the significant changes in the market demand environment have brought business difficulties to the industry, Chen Huiren believes that from the perspective of the long-term development of the machine tool industry, this is the pain of transformation that the industry must bear and the price that the industry must pay. In this sense, the change in the market environment is not entirely a bad thing. It provides an opportunity and entry point for the transformation and upgrading of the industry, The formed forced mechanism provides a strong driving force for the transformation and upgrading of the industry